Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday


	Truro City		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.81	3.75	3.45
	1.84	4	3.69
	1.92	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	3.49 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
49.3%

Draw
24.5%

Gosport Borough
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gosport Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Gosport Borough aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Gosport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Truro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Truro won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
29.08.22	Tiverton Town - Truro City	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Truro City - Hendon	4:1 ✺
20.08.22	Winchester City - Truro City	1:3 ✺
17.08.22	Truro City - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWT
- Gosport Borough
English FA Cup
21.09.22	Paulton Rovers - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Gosport Borough - Paulton Rovers	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Gosport Borough - Hamworthy United	4:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.08.22	Winchester City - Gosport Borough	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Gosport Borough - Plymouth Parkway	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
19.02.22	Gosport Borough - Truro City	1:1
23.10.21	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:2
08.02.20	Gosport Borough - Truro City	1:0
14.09.19	Truro City - Gosport Borough	1:0
English National League South
21.02.17	Truro City - Gosport Borough	2:0
09.08.16	Gosport Borough - Truro City	3:1
24.10.15	Truro City - Gosport Borough	2:2

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