Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday


	Truro City		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.09	3.3	3.55
	2.1	3.29	3.51	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.03	3.34	3.45
	2.05	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.34)	3.26 ↓ (3.53)	3.46 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
44.9%

Draw
28.3%

Weston-super-Mare
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

25.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weston-super-Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weston-super-Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Truro City - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Reid R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, Palfrey B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 2.

Truro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weston-super-Mare is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Truro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Truro won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28:32 (average 1.5:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
21.12.24	St Albans City - Truro City	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Truro City - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4 ✺
23.11.24	Truro City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWW
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
21.12.24	Weston-super-Mare - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Weston-super-Mare - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
10.12.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Worthing - Weston-super-Mare	3:0 ✺
26.11.24	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.12.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:3
23.09.23	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:0
English Southern League South Division
28.01.23	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	0:1
14.09.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:0
18.04.22	Truro City - Weston-super-Mare	0:4
01.01.22	Weston-super-Mare - Truro City	2:2

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