Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Trygg Lade		Melhus

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.50	3.89	Watch
	1.58	5.37	3.78
	1.57	4.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	4.79 ↑ (4.5)	4 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trygg Lade
57.8%

Draw
19.2%

Melhus
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

20.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

19.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trygg Lade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Melhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trygg Lade than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melhus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Trygg Lade - Melhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Flotve M. (Pen),
38', 2 - 0, Eidsvag S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Vollan M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2).

Trygg Lade is Confirmed as championsnQualified for

Trygg Lade is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Melhus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trygg Lade may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Trygg Lade is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trygg Lade won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Trygg Lade won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Trygg Lade
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.10.25	Aalesunds 2 - Trygg Lade	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Trygg Lade - Ranheim 2	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kristiansund 2 - Trygg Lade	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Trygg Lade - Tiller	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Spjelkavik - Trygg Lade	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWT
- Melhus IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.10.25	Melhus - Byåsen	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Volda - Melhus	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Melhus - Surnadal IL	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Melhus - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Kristiansund 2 - Melhus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
29.03.25	Melhus - Trygg Lade	1:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
09.09.24	Melhus - Trygg Lade	2:0
27.04.24	Trygg Lade - Melhus	0:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.08.22	Melhus - Trygg Lade	0:3
18.06.22	Trygg Lade - Melhus	0:1

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