Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tsarsko Selo Sofia		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25
	1.55	3.7	5.75
	1.51	3.75	6.2
	1.61	3.87	5.94
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.54	3.74	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.28)	3.68 ↑ (3.22)	5.52 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tsarsko Selo Sofia
57.7%

Draw
25.4%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tsarsko Selo Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tsarsko Selo Sofia's performance.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pirin Blagoevgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tsarsko Selo Sofia than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tsarsko Selo Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pirin Blagoevgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.1%	2.7%	6.2%

Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 146 users predict this event. Tsarsko Selo will win (votes: 133 - 91.1%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 9 - 6.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 2.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsarsko Selo: 86.5% – 95.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsarsko Selo won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tsarsko Selo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tsarsko Selo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tsarsko Selo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tsarsko Selo Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.05.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:1 ✺
18.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:2 ✺
11.04.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
04.04.22	Lokomotiv Sofia - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTWWL
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.05.22	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
25.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:2 ✺
11.04.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Levski Sofia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.04.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	0:2
11.04.22	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
31.10.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	2:1
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0
22.01.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.12.18	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Tsarsko Selo Sofia	1:3
05.08.18	Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.10.26	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	✺

Tsarsko Selo Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad