Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 5


	Botev Vratsa		Pirin Blagoevgrad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.8	6
	1.58	3.75	5.6	Watch
	1.58	3.65	5.77
	1.59	3.74	5.96	Watch
	1.55	3.56	6.42	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	3.71 ↓ (3.75)	5.89 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Vratsa
59.3%

Draw
25%

Pirin Blagoevgrad
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.2%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pirin Blagoevgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Vratsa: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Vratsa (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Pirin Blagoevgrad (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Evtimov D. (G) 6. Suarez D. 4. Kabashi A. 11. Achkov M. 32. Dichev M. 9. Genov D. (C) 26. Boukassi M. 10. Georgiev S. 24. Smolenski M. 21. Traore B. 19. Perea B.	76. Kostov K. (G) 8. Boyanov L. 5. Bodurov N. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 4. Ivanov B. 96. Iliadis I. 7. Valchev G. 17. Dinev Z. 10. Souda A. 21. Ivov M. 98. Yoskov V.
Substitutes
16. Allagbe S. (G) 29. Bachev M. S. 14. Bachev P. 98. Ewerton Potiguar 15. Marinov M. 7. Papazov M. 33. Stefanov N. 22. Stoyanov A. 3. Tsenov P.	99. Botnari I. 6. Bozhurkin B. 15. Buchev D. 9. Embarek N. 29. Kostov S. 18. Malinov B. 71. Petrov H. 23. Slavkov S. 12. Smilyanski B. (G)
Coaches
Yanev H.	Arangelov H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Kabashi A. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Genov D. ⚽, Dichev M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Dinev Z. 🟨,
56', Valchev G. 🟨,
62', Traore B. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
63', Yoskov V. 🟨,
66', Yoskov V. ↓, Kostov S. ↑,
66', Valchev G. ↓, Bozhurkin B. ↑,
81', Boukassi M. ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
81', Ivov M. ↓, Embarek N. ↑,
86', Iliadis I. 🟨,
90+2', Genov D. ↓, Bachev M. S. ↑,
90+5', Stoyanov A. 🟨,
90+5', Dyulgerov A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pirin Blagoevgrad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Botev Vratsa is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Vratsa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	2:1 ✺
20.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
07.05.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWL
- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.05.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Belasitsa Petrich	2:3 ✺
16.05.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Minyor Pernik	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Lovech - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0 ✺
05.05.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Yantra Gabrovo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	1:2
23.02.24	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ET
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.08.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	0:1
27.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0
19.03.23	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0
02.09.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1

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