Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday


	Tuapse		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4	1.4
	6.51	4.36	1.37
	5.8	4	1.44
	6.55	4.33	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (5.1)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuapse
14.5%

Draw
21.6%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

25.4%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20.9%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuapse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Novorossiysk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuapse than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).

Tuapse is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernomorets is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuapse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chernomorets is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tuapse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tuapse
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
26.09.21	Dynamo Stavropol - Tuapse	5:1 ✺
20.09.21	Tuapse - SKA Rostov	0:2 ✺
08.09.21	Rotor 2 - Tuapse	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Tuapse - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
29.08.21	Forte Taganrog - Tuapse	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL 2 Group 1
26.09.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rotor 2	4:0 ✺
18.09.21	Dynamo Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0 ✺
12.09.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Forte Taganrog	2:2 ✺
08.09.21	Kuban-Kholding - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:3 ✺
04.09.21	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Alania 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
31.10.20	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tuapse	1:0

Tuapse - Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide