Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 14

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Dynamo Makhachkala		Chernomorets Novorossiysk

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.19	4.56
	1.82	3.24	4.55	Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	4.32 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Makhachkala
49.7%

Draw
28.9%

Chernomorets Novorossiysk
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

28.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

28.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Makhachkala's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Dynamo Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Volk D. (G) 99. Alibekov M. (C) 11. Cacintura 47. Glushkov N. 13. Kagermazov S. 34. Khramtsov M. 55. Kovacevic V. 9. Magomedov R. 28. Serderov S. 4. Shumakhov I. 22. Yusupov Z.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 24. Budagyan Y. 90. Deljkin A. 17. Fomin D. 15. Grechkin A. (C) 3. Khagur R. 77. Korobov D. 30. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Kumburovic N. 19. Rudenko V. 11. Saaduev S.
Substitutes
10. Abduragimov R. 46. Goshev E. (G) 2. Ibragimov M. G. 70. Kostyukov M. 39. Magomedov T. (G) 41. Osokin D. 72. Sandrachuk A. 56. Smith S. 20. Zainivov A.	9. Abakarov M. 96. Adaev V. 7. Antonov A. 47. Filippov M. (G) 5. Garaev V. 27. Gurchenko D. 13. Kirilenko V. 21. Klimov N. 10. Magomedov Z. 14. Maklakov I. 8. Panamarev N. 16. Tyurin M. (G)
Coaches
Berdyev K.	Zyryanov K.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 12).

Recent matches Dynamo Makhachkala is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chernomorets is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dynamo Makhachkala is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo Makhachkala won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Makhachkala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian FNL
08.10.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Forte Taganrog - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Dynamo Makhachkala - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Russian FNL
08.10.23	Leningradets - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Biolog-Novokubansk Progress - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 1
17.04.22	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1
18.09.21	Dynamo Makhachkala - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	3:0

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