Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Tudelano		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	3	3	2.24
	2.98	3.21	2.32
	2.99	3.22	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.79)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tudelano
30.7%

Draw
29.1%

Leonesa
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

29%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

21.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tudelano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tudelano - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Tudelano is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leonesa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leonesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tudelano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tudelano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tudelano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.10.21	Extremadura UD - Tudelano	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Tudelano - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
03.10.21	Tudelano - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
24.09.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Tudelano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.21	Ferrol - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Leonesa - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Leonesa - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Badajoz - Leonesa	3:3 ✺
25.09.21	Leonesa - Valladolid B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.12.19	Tudelano - Leonesa	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.01.17	Tudelano - Leonesa	1:0
21.08.16	Leonesa - Tudelano	1:1
14.02.16	Leonesa - Tudelano	0:0
27.09.15	Tudelano - Leonesa	3:1

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