Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Leonesa		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.37	4.4	6.5
	1.48	4.5	4.75
	1.36	5.22	7.83
	1.36	4.7	7.9
	1.43	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.63 ↑ (3.98)	6.58 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
66.2%

Draw
19.9%

Talavera de la Reina
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

22.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Talavera de la Reina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talavera de la Reina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Leonesa - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Badajoz - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Leonesa - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Mérida AD - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Ceuta - Talavera de la Reina	4:1 ✺
07.05.23	Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra	4:2 ✺
30.04.23	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla	2:7 ✺
22.04.23	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.10.22	Talavera de la Reina - Leonesa	2:3
21.05.22	Talavera de la Reina - Leonesa	0:5
09.10.21	Leonesa - Talavera de la Reina	1:2

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