Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Tuilla		Ceares

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.35	1.6
	4.67	3.23	1.74
	4.81	3.28	1.74
	4.6	3	1.75
	4.7	3.22	1.73
	4.75	3.2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (4.15)	3.21 ↑ (3.07)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuilla
18.9%

Draw
28.2%

Ceares
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

29.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

29.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ceares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tuilla - Ceares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 2.

Tuilla is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ceares is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ceares is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tuilla won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tuilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Union Club Ceares	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Avilés Stadium - Tuilla	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caudal Deportivo - Tuilla	6:1 ✺
04.01.26	Tuilla - Llanera	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Tuilla - Club Siero	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Titánico - Tuilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT
- UC Ceares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Ceares - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ceares - Club Siero	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Navarro - Ceares	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Ceares - Gijón Industrial	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.09.25	Ceares - Tuilla	2:1
26.01.25	Tuilla - Ceares	0:0
15.09.24	Ceares - Tuilla	0:1
25.02.24	Tuilla - Ceares	0:1
08.10.23	Ceares - Tuilla	2:3
19.02.23	Tuilla - Ceares	1:0
16.10.22	Ceares - Tuilla	0:0

Tuilla - Ceares: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide