Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 12

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Riga 2		Tukums 2000 2

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.40	5.50
	1.52	4.25	4.55
	1.36	4.79	5.94
	1.80	3.91	3.56	Watch
	1.34	4.70	5.85
	1.31	5.20	7.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	4.54 ↑ (4)	5.48 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga 2
63%

Draw
20.2%

Tukums 2000 2
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

22.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

21.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga 2's performance.

Tukums 2000 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tukums 2000 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga 2 than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tukums 2000 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Pena B. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Pena B. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga 2 won 4.

Recent performances by Riga 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tukums 2000 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Riga 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Riga 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 3.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Riga FC 2	21	7	5	9	29:37	-8	26
10	Tukums 2000 2	21	5	3	13	27:60	-33	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC 2
Latvian 1 Liga
27.06.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Riga 2	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Riga 2 - Smiltene	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Rēzekne - Riga 2	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Riga 2 - Mārupe	0:4 ✺
10.05.26	Leevon PPK - Riga 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
27.06.26	Super Nova 2 - Tukums 2000 2	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
24.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Rēzekne - Tukums 2000 2	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
01.11.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga 2	2:1
07.07.25	Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2	1:0
26.05.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga 2	0:7
04.11.23	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga 2	0:3
22.07.23	Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2	3:2
09.10.22	Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2	2:1
28.05.22	Tukums 2000 2 - Riga 2	1:6

Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide