Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Independência

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.42	4.22	6.89
				Watch
	1.44	4.57	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	4.2 ↑ (3.4)	6.25 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
63.4%

Draw
21.9%

Independência
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.1%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuna Luso Brasileira's performance.

Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuna Luso Brasileira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Feijao ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Ronaldy ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 3 - 0, Ronaldy ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tuna Luso is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tuna Luso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Águia de Marabá - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manaus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTTW
- Independência FC
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.25	Independência - Manaus	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Manaus - Independência	1:0 ✺
27.05.25	Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Trem - Independência	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.05.25	Independência - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide