Match Info

Serie D - Round 12

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Manauara

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	1.88	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3.22	3.84
				Watch
	1.97	3.52	3.62
	2.3	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.28)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	3.35 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
44.5%

Draw
28.1%

Manauara
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Manauara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	87.5%	0%

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manauara Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tuna Luso will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tuna Luso (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Manauara (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Tuna Luso (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tuna Luso (votes: 3 - 30%). Manauara (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Silva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Kadu Barone ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ju Alagoano (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Tuna Luso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tuna Luso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
06.07.25	Manaus - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Independência	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTW
- Manauara EC
Brazilian Serie D
05.07.25	Águia de Marabá - Manauara	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Manauara - Manaus	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Humaitá - Manauara	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Manauara - Trem	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Trem - Manauara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.25	Manauara - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:0

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Manauara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide