Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tunisia		Algeria

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.35
	3.05	2.9	2.5
	3.1	2.75	2.37
	3.26	2.88	2.56
	3.2	2.62	2.45
	3.1	2.95	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	2.46 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tunisia
29.5%

Draw
32.9%

Algeria
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

33.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.9%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tunisia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tunisia's form might have worsened.

Algeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Algeria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tunisia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tunisia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tunisia - Algeria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Tunisia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Algeria in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tunisia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tunisia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tunisia
FIFA Arab Cup
15.12.21	Tunisia - Egypt	1:0 ✺
10.12.21	Tunisia - Oman	2:1 ✺
06.12.21	Tunisia - United Arab Emirates	1:0 ✺
03.12.21	Syria - Tunisia	2:0 ✺
30.11.21	Tunisia - Mauritania	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW
- Algeria
FIFA Arab Cup
15.12.21	Qatar - Algeria	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Morocco - Algeria	2:3 penalties ✺
07.12.21	Algeria - Egypt	1:1 ✺
04.12.21	Lebanon - Algeria	0:2 ✺
01.12.21	Algeria - Sudan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.06.21	Tunisia - Algeria	0:2
26.03.19	Algeria - Tunisia	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
19.01.17	Algeria - Tunisia	1:2
Friendly
11.01.15	Tunisia - Algeria	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
22.01.13	Tunisia - Algeria	1:0

Tunisia - Algeria

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tunisia - Algeria Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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