Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 1

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Hassan (Rabat)

Referee: Atcho P. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Algeria	ENTV
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
Morocco	Al Aoula
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Algeria		Sudan

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.43	4.2	7.75
	1.22	6	15	Watch
	1.42	4.25	9.72
	1.25	5.68	14.2	Watch
	1.22	5.5	13
	1.25	6.4	15	Watch
	1.23	5.66	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	5.46 ↑ (3.91)	12.58 ↑ (8.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeria
74.8%

Draw
17.5%

Sudan
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

24.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

23.6%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Algeria's performance.

Sudan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algeria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudan than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	7.3%	4.9%

Algeria - Sudan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sudan (3.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Algeria (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Algeria will win (36 of 39 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.95% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Algeria will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Algeria (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Sudan (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zidane L. (G) Granada CF 25. Belghali R. Verona 2. Mandi A. Lille 21. Bensebaini R. Dortmund 15. Ait Nouri R. Manchester City 14. Boudaoui H. Nice 10. Bennacer I. Din. Zagreb 7. Mahrez R. (C) Al Ahli SC 17. Chaibi F. Eintracht Frankfurt 18. Amoura M. Wolfsburg 9. Bounedjah B. Shamal	21. Elneel M. (G) EL Merriekh Bentiu 7. Awad Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 12. Khamis B. (C) Al Ahly Tripoli 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 2. Abuaagla M. Al Ahly Benghazi 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 14. Eisa M. Uthai Thani 20. Eisa A. Chonburi
Substitutes
20. Atal Y. Al-Sadd 12. Bakrar M. Din. Zagreb 5. Belaid Z. Kabylie 16. Benbot O. (G) USM Alger 28. Berkane R. Al Wakra 27. Boulbina A. Al-Duhail 3. Dorval M. Bari 13. Hadjam J. Young Boys 11. Hadj Moussa A. Feyenoord 24. Kebbal I. Paris FC 1. Mandrea A. (G) Caen 22. Maza I. Bayer Leverkusen 4. Tougai M. Esperance Tunis 6. Zerrouki R. Twente 19. Zorgane A. Royale Union SG	4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 26. Abdallah A. Green Gully 10. Abdelrahman M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 16. Abooja M. (G) 1. Ali Aboeshren (G) Al-Hilal Omdurman 25. Barglan S. Den Bosch 24. Hakeem M. Al-Merreikh 5. Khidir W. Al-Hilal Omdurman 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi 17. Mohamedein M. Al Akhdar 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 19. Tabanja A. 27. Tia Asad M. 18. Zaid A.
Coaches
Petkovic V.	Kwesi Appiah J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Mahrez R. ⚽, Boudaoui H. (A),
14', Alhassan S. 🟨,
39', Alhassan S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Saeed Ahmed M. 🟨,
60', Chaibi F. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
61', Ait Nouri R. ↓, Hadjam J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Mahrez R. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
66', Omer A. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
67', Eisa M. ↓, Abdelrahman M. ↑,
68', Eisa A. ↓, Mozamil Y. ↑,
70', Abuaagla M. ↓, Zaid A. ↑,
78', Bennacer I. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
78', Mahrez R. ↓, Hadj Moussa A. ↑,
82', Amoura M. ↓, Zerrouki R. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Maza I. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),

Preview

Algeria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sudan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sudan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Algeria is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Algeria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeria
FIFA Arab Cup
12.12.25	Algeria - United Arab Emirates	1:2 penalties ✺
09.12.25	Algeria - Iraq	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bahrain - Algeria	1:5 ✺
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Saudi Arabia - Algeria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTW
- Sudan
FIFA Arab Cup
09.12.25	Bahrain - Sudan	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sudan - Iraq	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Sudan - Lebanon	2:1 ✺
Friendly
14.11.25	Oman - Sudan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Arab Cup
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0
African Nations Championship
23.08.25	Sudan - Algeria	2:1 penalties
FIFA Arab Cup
01.12.21	Algeria - Sudan	4:0

Algeria - Sudan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide