Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Tunisia	Watania 1
Uganda	UBC TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports


	Tunisia		Uganda

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.75
	1.32	4.75	9.50
	1.38	4.57	9.33
	1.42	4.08	8.3	Watch
	1.35	4.40	9.20
	1.36	4.13	11.00	Watch
	1.32	4.20	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)	4.35 ↑ (3.75)	8.98 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tunisia
68.4%

Draw
21.3%

Uganda
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tunisia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tunisia's performance.

Uganda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uganda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Tunisia - Uganda Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tunisia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tunisia will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dahmen A. (G) CS Sfaxien 20. Valery Y. Sheffield Wed 6. Arous A. Kasimpasa 3. Talbi M. Lorient 21. Cherni A. Nantes 5. Ben Romdhane M. Shamal 13. Sassi F. (C) Al-Gharafa 10. Ayari K. Dunkerque 11. Gharbi I. Leganes 17. Tounekti S. Celtic 22. Elloumi R. Vancouver Whitecaps	18. Onyango D. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 2. Asiimwe N. Salford 3. Torach R. Constantine 5. Sibbick T. Burton 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 4. Semakula K. Al Ittihad Alexandria 13. Alhassan B. Mardin 1969 21. Okello A. FAR Rabat 10. Mutyaba T. CS Sfaxien 7. Mato R. Hearts 15. Okello N. Lexington
Substitutes
7. Achouri E. San Diego FC 2. Ben Hamida M. Al Hazem Rass 1. Chamakh A. (G) Club Africain 15. Chouchane S. Dijon 19. Kadida S. Club Africain 23. Ltaief S. Cracovia 12. Maaloul A. CS Sfaxien 9. Mastouri H. Esperance Tunis 4. Nasraoui M. Istra 1961 18. Neffati M. Norrkoping 8. Rafia H. Esperance Tunis 14. Slimane A. Norwich	9. Basangwa R. NEC FC 17. Bogere J. Aarhus 20. Herbert A. 24. Kizito G. Kampala City 6. Lubangakene G. 19. Lukwago D. (G) Villa 16. Mukundane H. Vipers 11. Mukwala S. Al Nasr 14. Omedi D. APR 8. Oyirwoth A. Dunfermline 1. Sebwalunyo H. (G) NEC FC 22. Ssebuufu F. Villa
Coaches
Chaabani M.	Put P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Arous A. ⚽, Ayari K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ayari K. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
46', Elloumi R. ↓, Kadida S. ↑,
63', Mutyaba T. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Mato R. ⚽, Asiimwe N. (A),
69', Gharbi I. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
69', Tounekti S. ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
77', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Rafia H. ↑,
82', Mato R. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
82', Okello A. ↓, Oyirwoth A. ↑,
90', Alhassan B. ↓, Mukundane H. ↑,
90+2', Kadida S. 🟨,
90+2', Kayondo A. 🟨,

Preview

Tunisia is ranked FIFA: 57., and Uganda is ranked FIFA: 89..

In this match, Tunisia enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tunisia has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:1 (averaging 2.5:0.5 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tunisia
FIFA World Cup
25.06.26	Tunisia - Netherlands	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Tunisia - Japan	0:4 ✺
14.06.26	Sweden - Tunisia	5:1 ✺
Friendly
06.06.26	Belgium - Tunisia	5:0 ✺
01.06.26	Austria - Tunisia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Uganda
Friendly
11.06.26	Zanzibar - Uganda	Canceled ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
30.12.25	Uganda - Nigeria	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Uganda - Tanzania	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Tunisia - Uganda	3:1 ✺
Friendly
17.12.25	Uganda - Gabon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?LTL?

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
23.12.25	Tunisia - Uganda	3:1
Friendly
04.01.17	Tunisia - Uganda	2:0

Tunisia - Uganda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide