Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen
Uganda	NBS Sport 1
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Uganda		Nigeria

	1	X	2
	5	3.7	1.7	Watch
	5.05	3.65	1.72	Watch
	4.86	3.47	1.81	Watch
	5	3.4	1.65
	5.29	3.72	1.68	Watch
	5.33	3.4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↓ (7.1)	3.56 ↓ (3.93)	1.72 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda
18.5%

Draw
26.5%

Nigeria
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

23.8%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Uganda's performance.

Nigeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nigeria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50.7%	14.9%	34.3%

Uganda - Nigeria Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 32 - 50%). Nigeria will win (votes: 22 - 34.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 37.8% – 62.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Uganda (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Nigeria (votes: 6 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Uganda (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Uganda (1.91) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Nigeria (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Uganda (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Nigeria (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Onyango D. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 4. Semakula K. Al Adalah 5. Sibbick T. Burton 15. Obita J. Hibernian 23. Kayondo A. Liberec 6. Byaruhanga B. Oakland Roots 10. Mutyaba T. CS Sfaxien 12. Alhassan B. FCSB 14. Omedi D. APR 9. Ikpeazu U. St Johnstone 7. Mato R. Vardar	1. Uzoho F. (G) Omonia 27. Alebiosu R. Blackburn 5. Ogbu I. Slavia Prague 21. Bassey C. Fulham 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 10. Dele-Bashiru F. Lazio 18. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 11. Chukwueze S. Fulham 19. Onuachu P. Trabzonspor 9. Osimhen V. (C) Galatasaray 15. Simon M. Paris FC
Substitutes
28. Ahimbisibwe Ivan Kampala City 1. Alionzi N. (G) Mechal SC 8. Aucho K. Singida Black Stars 24. Bogere J. 25. Kwikiriza S. Kampala City 27. Lorenzen M. Muang Thong Utd 19. Magoola S. (G) Richards Bay 17. Mpande R. Villa 26. Mukundane H. Vipers 11. Mukwala S. Simba 20. Muleme I. 21. Okello A. Vipers 16. Ssekiganda R. Villa 22. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 2. Torach R. Vipers	22. Adams A. Sevilla 6. Ajayi S. Hull City 26. Akinsanmiro E. Pisa 20. Awaziem C. Nantes 24. Ejuke C. Sevilla 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 25. Lawal S. Istra 1961 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 4. Ndidi W. Besiktas 28. Nnadi T. Waregem 23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 16. Obasogie A. (G) Singida Black Stars 8. Onyeka F. Brentford 2. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 3. Zaidu FC Porto
Coaches
Put P.	Chelle E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Bassey C. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Dele-Bashiru F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Omedi D. ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,
46', Mutyaba T. ↓, Okello A. ↑,
46', Bassey C. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
46', Onyango D. ↓, Magoola S. ↑,
56', Magoola S. 🟥,
59', Alhassan B. ↓, Alionzi N. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
66', Ikpeazu U. 🟨,
67', 0 - 3, Onyedika R. ⚽, Chukwueze S. (A),
75', 1 - 3, Mato R. ⚽, Okello A. (A),
77', Onuachu P. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
77', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
85', Ikpeazu U. ↓, Ssemugabi J. ↑,
87', Osimhen V. ↓, Adams A. ↑,
90', Awaziem C. 🟨,
90+3', Chukwueze S. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,

Preview

Nigeria has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nigeria might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Uganda: Awany T. (Injury) Capradossi E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uganda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda
Africa Cup of Nations
27.12.25	Uganda - Tanzania	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Tunisia - Uganda	3:1 ✺
Friendly
17.12.25	Uganda - Gabon	Canceled ✺
18.11.25	Morocco - Uganda	4:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Algeria - Uganda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TL?LL
- Nigeria
Africa Cup of Nations
27.12.25	Nigeria - Tunisia	3:2 ✺
23.12.25	Nigeria - Tanzania	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	Egypt - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Nigeria - D.R. Congo	1:2 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Nigeria - Gabon	4:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
20.11.18	Nigeria - Uganda	0:0
25.03.15	Nigeria - Uganda	0:1

Uganda - Nigeria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide