The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tuntum 25.4%
Draw 28.1%
Maranhão 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.4%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
25.7%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tuntum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuntum than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maranhão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tuntum - Maranhão Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', 🟥,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ Maranhense 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Maranhão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Tuntum have a series of guest games.
Recently Maranhão have a series of home games.
In this match Maranhão is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuntum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Tuntum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).