The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maranhão 39.6%
Draw 34.9%
Sampaio Corrêa 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
31.3%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
30%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Sandre A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, Adriano ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 3-0. Second leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 3.
Maranhão is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sampaio Corrêa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Maranhão could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Maranhão won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.1:0.3).