The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turan Tovuz 40.2%
Draw 32.3%
Zira 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
29.7%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
31.1%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Turan Tovuz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Turan Tovuz - Zira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (G) 11. Balau D. 33. Damjanovic F. 32. Hurtado H. (C) 90. Jo Batista 25. Marandici D. 5. Miller R. 19. Olabe R. 23. Serrano A. 7. Silva J. 77. Wadji I.
72. Quliyev H. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 27. Bayere Junior L. 20. Djibrilla I. 21. Guima 11. Guseynov A. 8. Ibrahimli I. 33. Misahsah M. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 2. Seydiyev A.
Substitutes
88. Haciyev F. 15. Hackman E. 3. Henrique Silva 28. Jankovic A. 35. Kenyaykin A. (G) 4. Mammadov R. 10. Nacafov K. 17. Sadykhov R. 99. Shafiyev S. 8. Tavares D.
14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 57. Haciyev Y. 6. Hacyly H. 3. Legbo D. 48. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 10. Papunashvili G. 9. Volkovi D.
Coaches
Berdyev K.
Sadiqov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ruan Renato 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Marandici D. 🟨,
61', Guseynov A. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
61', Djibrilla I. ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
72', Balau D. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
72', Miller R. ↓, Mammadov R. ↑,
84', Ibrahimli I. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
89', Wadji I. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
90', Serrano A. ↓, Sadykhov R. ↑,
90+2', Hacyly H. 🟨,
90+5', Seydiyev A. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Damjanovic F. ⚽,
90+7', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 5th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1.
Turan has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Zira shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Zira has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Turan has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:21 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Turan against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).