Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Zira Stadium (Zira)

Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zira		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.40	1.80
	3.30	3.45	1.83	Watch
	4.44	3.60	1.75
	3.62	3.51	1.9	Watch
	4.35	3.45	1.73
	4.03	3.52	1.86
	3.80	3.40	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.33)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zira
23.5%

Draw
26.3%

Qarabağ Agdam
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+4%)

Zira - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Quliyev H. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 27. Bayere Junior L. 20. Djibrilla I. 21. Guima 16. Ktatau 33. Misahsah M. 5. Mutsinzi A. 4. Ruan Renato 2. Seydiyev A. 17. Vieirinha	23. Zlomislic M. (G) 29. Cephas R. 8. Jankovic M. (C) 5. Langa B. 25. Makreckis C. 2. Matheus Silva 10. Montiel J. 7. Mouaddib J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 22. Qurbanly M. 4. Varkonyi B.
Substitutes
14. Alicanov E. 13. Bayramov A. (G) 11. Guseynov A. 57. Haciyev Y. 6. Hacyly H. 8. Ibrahimli I. 48. Muradov R. 41. Nazirov A. (G) 10. Papunashvili G. 9. Volkovi D.	49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 33. Diego Rosa 55. Huseynov B. 19. Ismaheel T. 21. Kashchuk O. 11. Khadra R. 88. Lobato S. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G)
Coaches
Sadiqov R.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Vieirinha ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Matheus Silva 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Djibrilla I. ⚽,
61', Bayere Junior L. ↓, Volkovi D. ↑,
64', Qurbanly M. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
64', Matheus Silva ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,
64', Mouaddib J. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Kashchuk O. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
81', Djibrilla I. ↓, Guseynov A. ↑,
81', Ktatau ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zira has had a series of home games.

Qarabağ is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	5	13
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zira FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
05.09.26	Sabah - Zira	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Zira - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Zira - İmişli	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Zira - Şəfa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Zira - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWT
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
06.09.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	1:4 AET ✺
20.08.26	Twente - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
14.03.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3
06.12.25	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1
12.09.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:1
06.04.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:0
02.02.25	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2
10.11.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	4:0
01.09.24	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3

Zira - Qarabağ Agdam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide