The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turris 17.9%
Draw 26.5%
Avellino 55.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
26.4%
56.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.9%
25.4%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Turris - Avellino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 15. Ndiaye M. 2. Esempio S. 13. Ricci L. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 8. Morrone B. 16. Casarini F. 99. Pugliese S. 10. Giannone L. 17. Nocerino L. 29. Trotta M.
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 94. Liotti D. 24. Sounas D. 8. Palmiero L. 55. Mutanda N. 7. D'Ausilio M. 35. Gori G. 11. Redan D.
Substitutes
4. Castellano F. 5. Cocetta N. 30. Desiato F. 6. Drame H. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 18. Onofrietti V. 27. Porro M. 9. Solmonte A. 7. Tannor E.
51. Arzillo V. 33. Benedetti S. 4. De Cristofaro A. 50. De Michele P. 38. Frascatore P. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 77. Marson L. (G) 52. Solaro D. 91. Vano M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', D'Ausilio M. ↓, De Cristofaro A. ↑,
64', Redan D. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
77', Giannone L. ↓, Onofrietti V. ↑,
77', Morrone B. ↓, Castellano F. ↑,
79', Vano M. 🟨,
79', Mutanda N. ↓, Campanile A. ↑,
90+1', Liotti D. ↓, Frascatore P. ↑,
90+2', Sounas D. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 1.
Recent matches Turris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Avellino is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Avellino is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Turris won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.