Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Italia (Sorrento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 255


	Sorrento		Turris

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.85	3.18	4.49
	1.84	3.25	4.68	Watch
	1.8	3	4.75
	1.8	3.22	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.17)	3.15 ↑ (3)	4.48 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
50.5%

Draw
29.1%

Turris
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorrento's performance.

Turris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Turris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sorrento - Turris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 9. Blondett E. 10. Bolsius D. 23. Cangianiello S. 8. Cuccurullo M. 15. De Francesco A. 6. Fusco F. (C) 7. Guadagni G. 14. Panico C. 18. Polidori A. 33. Vitiello A.	33. Marcone R. (G) 16. Casarini F. 5. Cocetta N. 2. Esempio S. 10. Giannone L. 8. Morrone B. 15. Ndiaye M. 17. Nocerino L. 18. Onofrietti V. 99. Pugliese S. 23. Scaccabarozzi J.
Substitutes
97. Albertazzi M. (G) 66. Cadili A. 5. Carotenuto G. 32. Colangiuli V. 3. Colombini L. 96. Esposito D. 12. Harrasser S. 76. Lops F. 11. Musso A. 17. Riccardi P. 16. Scala S. 2. Todisco G.	4. Castellano F. 30. Desiato F. 6. Drame H. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 27. Porro M. 13. Ricci L. 9. Solmonte A. 7. Tannor E. 29. Trotta M.

Preview

Recent matches Sorrento is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Turris is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Turris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sorrento is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
13.09.24	Potenza - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sorrento - Altamura	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Monopoli - Sorrento	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sorrento - Catania	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Picerno - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL
- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.24	Casertana - Turris	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Turris - Latina	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Potenza - Turris	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Turris - Monopoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Turris - Altamura	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.01.24	Sorrento - Turris	2:1
17.09.23	Turris - Sorrento	3:2
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.10.19	Turris - Sorrento	1:1

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