Match Info

Prva Liga - FBiH - Round 23

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Tuzla City		Čelik Zenica

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.91
	3.7	3.1	1.92
	4.67	3.43	1.70	Watch
	3.85	3.1	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.75)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzla City
22.8%

Draw
28.6%

Čelik Zenica
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

29%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.1%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzla City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Čelik Zenica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Čelik Zenica than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tuzla City - Čelik Zenica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Sero N. ⚽,
80', 1 - 2, Campana A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WWIN Liga BiH).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuzla City won 1.

Tuzla City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Čelik Zenica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tuzla City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tuzla City has had a series of home games.

Čelik Zenica could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tuzla City won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tuzla City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Tuzla City
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
03.05.26	Tuzla City - Igman Konjic	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Tuzla City - TOŠK Tešanj	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tuzla City - Jedinstvo Bihać	3:1 ✺
08.04.26	Tuzla City - Bratstvo Gračanica	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Budućnost Banovići - Tuzla City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWL
- Čelik Zenica
Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
10.05.26	Čelik Zenica - TOŠK Tešanj	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Vitez - Čelik Zenica	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Jedinstvo Bihać	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Stupčanica Olovo - Čelik Zenica	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Čelik Zenica - Bratstvo Gračanica	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Prva Liga FBiH
25.10.25	Čelik Zenica - Tuzla City	5:0
04.05.25	Čelik Zenica - Tuzla City	3:0
12.10.24	Tuzla City - Čelik Zenica	2:2
Bosnian Premier League
23.11.19	Tuzla City - Čelik Zenica	1:0
24.08.19	Čelik Zenica - Tuzla City	0:0
20.04.19	Čelik Zenica - Tuzla City	1:1
02.03.19	Tuzla City - Čelik Zenica	1:1

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