Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 24

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Tvååker		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.79	3.97	3.81
	1.76	3.75	3.74
	1.86	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.51)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.63 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tvååker
50.4%

Draw
24.5%

Ahlafors
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tvååker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tvååker's form might have worsened.

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ahlafors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tvååker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ahlafors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tvååker - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lundgren R. (G) 8. Nilsson E. 2. Johansson N. 4. Nilsson V. (C) 19. Zander E. 3. Jansson S. 6. Berggren A. 13. Bryneus O. 20. Jonsson M. 15. Petersson I. 12. Nilsson W.	31. Skanberg A. (G) 3. Josefsson A. 10. Olsson P. 14. Andersson V. 17. Jatta N. 20. Lindstrom J. (C) 15. Kocevski K. 22. Edlund S. 18. Chidi A. 29. Clason R. 7. Zetterlund J.
Substitutes
14. Gudmundsson J. 7. Hintsa E. 16. Lund A. J. M. 9. Nygaard A. 24. Sandford W. 11. Sjoland M. 32. Svensson T. (G)	21. Adan M. 30. Alexandersson M. (G) 26. Amin M. 4. Nilsson J. 28. Soder H. 16. Strandahl N. 11. Valtersson E.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).

Tvååker is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ahlafors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ahlafors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tvååker is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tvååker won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.09.23	Torn - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Oddevold - Tvååker	4:0 ✺
09.09.23	Tvååker - Norrby	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Oskarshamn - Tvååker	0:4 ✺
26.08.23	Tvååker - Trollhättan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.09.23	Vänersborgs IF - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Ahlafors - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ängelholm - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Torn - Ahlafors	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Ahlafors - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.05.23	Ahlafors - Tvååker	1:0

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