The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vänersborgs IF 17.8%
Draw 19.9%
Ahlafors 62.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.3%
20.3%
62.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.7%
19.6%
64.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vänersborgs IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vänersborgs IF than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Vänersborgs IF - Ahlafors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vänersborgs IF won 1.
Vänersborgs IF has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Ahlafors have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Ahlafors is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ahlafors in today's match, at odds of 1.45.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Vänersborgs IF has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:20 (averaging 1.9:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vänersborgs IF against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).