Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 26

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Txantrea		Alesves

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.73	3.26	4.47
	1.74	3.26	4.47
	1.72	3.3	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	3.27 ↑ (3.24)	4.54 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
52.5%

Draw
27.6%

Alesves
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

27%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alesves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alesves than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Echeverria E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Aranda I. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).

Txantrea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alesves is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Txantrea is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Txantrea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Txantrea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.03.24	Avance Ezcabarte - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Lerines - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Txantrea - Cirbonero	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL
- CD Alesves
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.03.24	Alesves - Huarte	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Subiza - Alesves	5:0 ✺
02.03.24	Alesves - Oberena	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Pamplona - Alesves	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Alesves - Burladés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.11.23	Alesves - Txantrea	1:0
28.01.23	Alesves - Txantrea	2:1
01.10.22	Txantrea - Alesves	2:0

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