Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		Beti Kozkor

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.04	3.47	3.25
	2.01	3.67	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.01	4.1	3.05
	2.05	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.32)	3.55 ↑ (3.34)	3.15 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
45.2%

Draw
25.8%

Beti Kozkor
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Txantrea's performance.

Beti Kozkor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beti Kozkor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Txantrea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beti Kozkor than the current prediction. (+5%)

Txantrea - Beti Kozkor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Txantrea won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Beti Kozkor	5	3	1	1	5:4	1	10
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Txantrea - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Huarte - Txantrea	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW
- Beti Kozkor KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
31.01.26	Beti Kozkor - Pamplona	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Cirbonero - Beti Kozkor	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Beti Kozkor - Artajonés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Subiza - Beti Kozkor	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	San Juan - Beti Kozkor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
10.05.25	Beti Kozkor - Txantrea	1:2
11.01.25	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	6:2
09.03.24	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1
21.10.23	Beti Kozkor - Txantrea	1:2
30.04.22	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	3:1
09.01.22	Beti Kozkor - Txantrea	0:1
04.05.19	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1

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