Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Cortes		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.92	2.82
	2.45	3.13	2.78
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.42	2.99	2.74
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.23)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.77 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cortes
37.4%

Draw
29.9%

Txantrea
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.6%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Cortes - Txantrea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cortes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cortes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cortes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Last Results with these Odds

Cortes - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.01.26	Pamplona - Cortes	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Artajonés - Cortes	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	San Juan - Cortes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLL
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Txantrea - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Aoiz - Txantrea	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Pamplona - Txantrea	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.02.24	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0
30.09.23	Txantrea - Cortes	1:1
22.04.23	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0
17.12.22	Txantrea - Cortes	3:1
12.02.22	Txantrea - Cortes	2:0
09.10.21	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0
12.01.19	Cortes - Txantrea	2:0

Upcoming Matches