Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Txantrea		Pamplona

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.69	3.39	2.4
	2.64	3.42	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.38
	2.65	3.53	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	2.4 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
34.6%

Draw
27.3%

Pamplona
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Pamplona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pamplona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Txantrea - Pamplona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 0.

Txantrea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pamplona is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pamplona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pamplona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Txantrea won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Txantrea	6	1	3	2	4:9	-5	6
15	Pamplona	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
29.03.26	Cirbonero - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Txantrea - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Beti Onak - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Subiza - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Txantrea - San Juan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL
- CD Pamplona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.03.26	Pamplona - Cirbonero	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Artajonés - Pamplona	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Pamplona - Subiza	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	San Juan - Pamplona	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Pamplona - Beti Onak	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.11.25	Pamplona - Txantrea	5:0
25.11.23	Txantrea - Pamplona	1:1
01.04.23	Pamplona - Txantrea	0:0
03.12.22	Txantrea - Pamplona	1:2
01.04.21	Txantrea - Pamplona	0:0
02.01.21	Pamplona - Txantrea	5:2
07.09.18	Txantrea - Pamplona	1:1

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