Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		Aoiz

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.02	3.13	3.62
	2.06	3.16	3.5
	2	3.2	3.3
	1.99	3.1	3.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
44.3%

Draw
29.1%

Aoiz
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Txantrea's performance.

Aoiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoiz than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Txantrea - Aoiz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Sarratea O. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, Sarratea O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Txantrea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aoiz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aoiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Txantrea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aoiz	5	2	3	0	5:2	3	9
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Txantrea - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.04.26	Txantrea - Pamplona	5:0 ✺
29.03.26	Cirbonero - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Txantrea - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Beti Onak - Txantrea	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Subiza - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLT
- CD Aoiz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.03.26	Aoiz - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Artajonés - Aoiz	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cirbonero - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Aoiz - Egüés	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Aoiz - Huarte	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
05.12.25	Aoiz - Txantrea	2:3

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