Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef North - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday


	Tzeirey Um El Fahem		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.49
	5.2	4.1	1.5
	5.38	4.17	1.51	Watch
	5.48	4.15	1.48
	5.2	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.8)	4.1 ↑ (3.7)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Um El Fahem
17.3%

Draw
22.1%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.6%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

26.9%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Tzeirey Um El Fahem aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Kiryat Yam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Hadad G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Katan A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Hapoel Kiryat Yam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hapoel Kiryat Yam have a series of home games.

In this match Hapoel Kiryat Yam is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tzeirey Um El Fahem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tzeirey Um El Fahem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israeli Liga Alef North
10.01.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	0:0 ✺
03.01.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	3:1 ✺
31.12.24	Hapoel Bueine - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Acre	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.12.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Beit Shean	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLW
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.01.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:1 ✺
07.01.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:5 ✺
03.01.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
04.04.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:5
12.01.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1

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