Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 9

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Tzeirey Um El Fahem		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.05	2.25
	3.03	3.01	2.25
	2.99	3.19	2.25	Watch
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 (2.99)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.25 (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Um El Fahem
30.3%

Draw
29.5%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Um El Fahem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tzeirey Um El Fahem than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Moassi H. ⚽,
45', Abu Ahmed I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Khatib A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Tzeirey Um El Fahem is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maccabi Nazareth is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Tzeirey Um El Fahem has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tzeirey Um El Fahem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Tzeirey Um El Fahem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Israeli Liga Alef North
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
07.11.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:2 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
03.12.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:2
12.03.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2
19.12.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	2:1

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