Match Info

Date: 11 January 2021, Monday


	Türkgücü München		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45
	2.8	3.5	2.35
	2.7	3.25	2.43
	2.7	3.25	2.47
	2.83	3.46	2.56
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	2.83	3.3	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.5)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	2.45 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Türkgücü München
33.7%

Draw
28%

Dynamo Dresden
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.1%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Türkgücü München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Türkgücü München's performance.

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Dresden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Türkgücü München than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Türkgücü München that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Dresden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	9.3%	58.1%

Türkgücü München - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Türkgücü München will win (votes: 14 - 32.6%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 25 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 43.4% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion to 2. Bundesliga).

Recent matches Türkgücü München is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo Dresden is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dynamo Dresden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Türkgücü München have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Türkgücü München
German 3 Bundesliga
23.12.20	Meppen - Türkgücü München	1:4 ✺
20.12.20	Verl - Türkgücü München	0:1 ✺
15.12.20	Türkgücü München - Hallescher	0:3 ✺
12.12.20	Uerdingen - Türkgücü München	1:0 ✺
02.12.20	Hansa Rostock - Türkgücü München	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLL
- Dynamo Dresden
Club Friendly
06.01.21	Dynamo Dresden - Jablonec	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.20	Viktoria Köln - Dynamo Dresden	2:4 ✺
15.12.20	Dynamo Dresden - Verl	4:1 ✺
12.12.20	Hallescher - Dynamo Dresden	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWW

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