Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Dresden		Schalke 04

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.37	3.5	2.8
	2.28	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.6	3.01
	2.23	3.27	3.22	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.36	3.62	2.84	Watch
	2.7	3.68	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.66)	3.5 ↓ (3.64)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
40%

Draw
27%

Schalke 04
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Schalke 04 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Schalke 04 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5%	95%

Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 19 - 95%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 85.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Schalke (2.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Schalke (2.12) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Dynamo Dresden (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Schalke (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Schalke (votes: 23 - 95.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 2. Faber K. 29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 28. Risch S. 6. Amoako K. 5. Sapina V. (C) 10. Lemmer J. 27. Hauptmann N. 25. Oehmichen J. 33. Daferner C.	1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 27. Porath F. 6. Schallenberg R. 14. Bachmann J. 33. Becker V. 23. El-Faouzi S. 19. Karaman K. (C) 15. Hojlund E.
Substitutes
17. Casar A. 16. Froling N. 22. Grill L. (G) 8. Herrmann L. 15. Kammerknecht C. 11. Kother D. 30. Kutschke S. 24. Menzel T. 13. Pauli J.	18. Antwi-Adjei C. 43. Ayhan M. 30. Donkor A. 17. Gantenbein A. 37. Gruger M. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 11. Lasme B. 2. Sanchez F. 16. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Muslic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Porath F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hojlund E. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
46', Kurucay H. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
65', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
65', Oehmichen J. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
66', El-Faouzi S. 🟨,
70', Porath F. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
70', El-Faouzi S. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
75', Sanchez F. 🟨,
76', Bachmann J. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
80', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
80', Lemmer J. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
82', Herrmann L. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Karaman K. (Pen),
86', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
90+4', Becker T. 🟨,

Preview

Dynamo Dresden is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schalke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dynamo Dresden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Daferner C. (Hand Injury) Rossipal A. (Inactive) Vermeij V. (Back Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Kalas T. (Knock) Remmert P. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Schalke 04 - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Mainz	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Slavia Prague - Dynamo Dresden	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLL
- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04	0:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Schalke 04 - Sevilla	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.04.22	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	1:2
23.10.21	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	3:0
German DFB Pokal
18.08.14	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	2:1

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