Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Türkgücü München		Wehen Wiesbaden

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	2.87	3.4	2.3
	2.9	3.65	2.15
	2.9	3.55	2.21
	3.01	3.77	2.29
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.88	3.72	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.58)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	2.22 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Türkgücü München
31.8%

Draw
26.3%

Wehen Wiesbaden
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

19.8%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Türkgücü München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wehen Wiesbaden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Türkgücü München than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Türkgücü München that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wehen Wiesbaden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Türkgücü München - Wehen Wiesbaden Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Türkgücü München will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Wehen will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Türkgücü München could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Türkgücü München won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Türkgücü München won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Türkgücü München
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.21	Magdeburg - Türkgücü München	4:0 ✺
26.09.21	Türkgücü München - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Saarbrücken - Türkgücü München	3:1 ✺
13.09.21	Türkgücü München - Duisburg	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Waldhof Mannheim - Türkgücü München	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL
- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
02.10.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
25.09.21	Würzburger Kickers - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:4 ✺
20.09.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
03.09.21	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Türkgücü München	3:1
10.10.20	Türkgücü München - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0

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