Match Info

3. Liga - Round 36

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.2	3.5	2.95
	2.33	3.55	2.8
	2.41	3.7	2.92
	2.36	3.47	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.33	3.4	2.79	Watch
	2.33	3.55	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.92)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)	2.86 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
40.6%

Draw
26.7%

Borussia Dortmund II
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wehen Wiesbaden's form might have worsened.

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Dortmund II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wehen Wiesbaden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (C) 9. Goppel T. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 15. Janitzek J. 18. Greilinger F. 8. Batzner N. 11. Gozusirin T. 6. Fechner G. 20. Johansson R. 28. Flotho M. 25. Agrafiotis N.	31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 22. Mane F. 15. Huning B. 34. Luhrs Y. 42. Kabar A. 8. Roggow F. (C) 6. Azhil A. 36. Reitz T. 38. Watjen K. 14. Eberwein M. 20. Hettwer J.
Substitutes
36. Elouarti N. 7. Franjic I. 39. Hubner F. 29. Kaya F. 14. Kiomourtzoglou O. 33. Luckeneder F. 1. Lyska A. (G) 5. Taffertshofer E. 3. Wegmann M.	7. Besong P. 26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 33. Estevao T. (G) 5. Foti A. 17. Gobel P. 43. Krevsun D. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B.
Coaches
Doring N.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Johansson R. ⚽, Goppel T. (A),
45+1', Mane F. ↓, Gobel P. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Azhil A. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
46', Kabar A. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Huning B. ⚽,
49', 1 - 2, Watjen K. ⚽,
52', Goppel T. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Gozusirin T. ⚽, Greilinger F. (A),
59', Flotho M. ↓, Kaya F. ↑,
59', Gozusirin T. ↓, Taffertshofer E. ↑,
66', Taffertshofer E. 🟨,
68', Reitz T. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
69', Luhrs Y. 🟨,
74', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Franjic I. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Kaya F. (Pen),
82', Huning B. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
87', Fechner G. 🟨,
88', Fechner G. ↓, Kiomourtzoglou O. ↑,
88', Greilinger F. ↓, Hubner F. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Kaya F. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Wehen could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wehen: Jacobsen B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury) Reitz T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Wehen: Hubner F. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund II - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.79%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
26.04.25	Viktoria Köln - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
11.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:2 ✺
05.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLT
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
26.04.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Hannover II	0:4 ✺
20.04.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Energie Cottbus	4:1 ✺
09.04.25	Verl - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
07.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2
29.01.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1
25.07.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
27.02.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3
20.09.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Borussia Dortmund II	0:1
03.02.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0
05.08.14	Wehen Wiesbaden - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0

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