Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Kluczevia Stargard

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.5	1.85
	3.35	3.5	1.89
	3.38	3.71	1.89	Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.85
	3.43	3.73	1.92	Watch
	3.51	3.69	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)	3.56 ↓ (3.69)	1.86 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
26.2%

Draw
25.3%

Kluczevia Stargard
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Kluczevia Stargard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Pietrzyk K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90', 0 - 2, Surdacki M. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 3, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Kluczevia Stargard is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tłuchowia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Cartusia Kartuzy - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Unia Swarzędz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Noteć Czarnków - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWLT
- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Kluczevia Stargard	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:0

Upcoming Matches