Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kluczevia Stargard		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	4.40
	1.58	3.8	4.3
	1.65	3.73	4.21
	1.64	3.91	4.43	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.1
	1.57	3.92	4.61	Watch
	1.5	4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	3.85 ↓ (4)	4.39 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
56.3%

Draw
23.3%

Flota Świnoujście
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59%

22.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kluczevia Stargard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-3%)

Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
25', 2 - 0, Yefimenko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 2 - 1, Kalenik O. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Chrominski D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th and 14th).

In recent outings, Kluczevia Stargard has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Flota has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Flota has had a run of games away from home.

Kluczevia Stargard carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kluczevia Stargard has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kluczevia Stargard against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kluczevia Stargard	13	7	2	4	24:22	2	23
14	Swinoujscie	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Luzino	3:2 ✺
09.10.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	KKS Kalisz - Kluczevia Stargard	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.10.26	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	1:0 ✺
09.10.26	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Noteć Czarnków - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Flota Świnoujście	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1

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