Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.15
	1.64	4.12	3.66
	1.67	4.37	3.79	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.61	4.15	4.21	Watch
	1.98	3.51	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	3.95 ↑ (3.51)	3.79 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
53.2%

Draw
22.9%

Flota Świnoujście
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.2%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

24.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kluczevia Stargard's performance.

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flota Świnoujście might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kluczevia Stargard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flota Świnoujście could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+6', 0 - 1, Sadowski H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,
79', Czapla J. 🟥,
90', 2 - 2, Turski H. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 3, Paczuk P. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)

Kluczevia Stargard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Flota has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kluczevia Stargard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kluczevia Stargard is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Kluczevia Stargard will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.03.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Kluczevia Stargard	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Wda Świecie - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	6:2 ✺
28.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Września	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1

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