Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 4

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	8	Watch
	1.31	4.83	10
	1.3	4.65	8.5
	1.32	4.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.53)	4.65 ↑ (3.77)	8.63 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
69.5%

Draw
19.8%

Cartagena B
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

24.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

UCAM Murcia - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Cartagena B have a series of home games.

In this match UCAM Murcia is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	UCAM Murcia - El Palo	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Marbella - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Hércules - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	UCAM Murcia - Cieza	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLW
- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Cartagena B - Vélez	1:2 ✺
10.09.23	Sevilla B - Cartagena B	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cartagena B - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Cartagena B - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Cartagena B - Minera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.04.23	Cartagena B - UCAM Murcia	1:0
18.12.22	UCAM Murcia - Cartagena B	6:1

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