Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia B		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.98	2.3
	2.99	2.98	2.26
	3.03	3.09	2.31	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.38
	2.86	3.22	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.34 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia B
30.9%

Draw
30.1%

Mazarrón
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCAM Murcia B's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mazarrón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mazarrón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 3.

UCAM Murcia B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mazarrón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UCAM Murcia B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UCAM Murcia B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	UCAM Murcia B	5	1	2	2	8:6	2	5
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.04.26	El Palmar - UCAM Murcia B	0:4 ✺
11.04.26	UCAM Murcia B - Deportivo Marítimo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unión Molinense - UCAM Murcia B	3:3 ✺
29.03.26	UCAM Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Santomera - UCAM Murcia B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWW
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.04.26	Muleño - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mazarrón - El Palmar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Mazarrón - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.12.25	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	1:1
24.04.22	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	0:1
12.12.21	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	3:1
09.05.21	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	4:1
24.11.19	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	1:1
19.03.19	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:2
31.10.18	Mazarrón - UCAM Murcia B	0:2

UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide