Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Mazarrón		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.05
	1.75	3.39	4.2
	1.95	3.35	3.71	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.2
	1.75	3.4	4.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	4.1 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mazarrón
50.6%

Draw
27.2%

Real Murcia B
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazarrón's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazarrón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mazarrón - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Almansa S. G. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Almansa S. G. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazarrón won 2.

In recent matches, Mazarrón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Murcia B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Murcia B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mazarrón could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mazarrón won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mazarrón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.05.26	Mazarrón - Águilas B	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Muleño - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mazarrón - El Palmar	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWL
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.04.26	Real Murcia B - Santomera	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Real Murcia B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Real Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	3:2
21.09.25	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:2
06.02.22	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	1:0
03.10.21	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	4:0
02.02.20	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	1:2
04.12.19	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:3
28.04.19	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	0:2

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