Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 7

Date: 16 September 2024, Monday

Location: Bannikov Stadium (Kyiv)


	UCSA		Dinaz Vyshgorod

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.4	6.75
	1.37	4.4	7
	1.38	4.5	6.7
	1.37	4.28	8.1	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.39	4.3	6.84
	1.37	4.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	4.35 ↑ (4.15)	7.06 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
66.3%

Draw
20.8%

Dinaz Vyshgorod
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.2%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for UCSA have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dinaz Vyshgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinaz Vyshgorod than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

UCSA - Dinaz Vyshgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Fedotov N. (G) 73. Castro P. 29. Dedyaev A. 9. Geheiro W. 7. Goulart G. 80. Kazakov M. 20. Kharchenko M. 4. Makhnev D. 5. Yevdokymov A. (C) 18. Yuzefovych V. 24. Zozulya O.	15. Bandura O. (G) 5. Chepurnenko Y. 12. Kartushov Y. 17. Kotukha I. 11. Kulyk D. 6. Litvinov O. 10. Novikov A. 7. Ogirya V. (C) 74. Romanchuk E. 18. Solovyov A. 3. Vovkun A.
Substitutes
12. Barantsov K. (G) 27. Debelko R. 44. Demydenko A. 21. Fogo 17. Khovayko K. 8. Kireev A. 77. Myshenko B. 15. Prykhodko N. 33. Selin Y. 55. Sherstyanikh R. (G) 90. Sytnykov M.	4. Borysenko I. 8. Chertkoev I. 1. Dmytrochenko V. (G) 13. Kovalenko I. 14. Latuta M. 70. Morarenko S. 79. Shkurat Y. 24. Voloshyn A. 28. Vorona M. 19. Yarmak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Castro P. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Kazakov M. ⚽,
12', Solovyov A. 🟨,
24', 3 - 0, Geheiro W. ⚽,
31', 4 - 0, Kazakov M. ⚽,
37', Romanchuk E. ↓, Voloshyn A. ↑,
37', Chepurnenko Y. ↓, Chertkoev I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Kazakov M. 🟨,
62', Geheiro W. ↓, Debelko R. ↑,
62', Goulart G. ↓, Fogo ↑,
62', Kharchenko M. ↓, Myshenko B. ↑,
62', Kotukha I. ↓, Yarmak Y. ↑,
71', Fedotov N. ↓, Barantsov K. ↑,
76', Castro P. ↓, Prykhodko N. ↑,
83', Kulyk D. ↓, Borysenko I. ↑,
83', Novikov A. ↓, Shkurat Y. ↑,
90+5', 5 - 0, Fogo ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).

UCSA is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinaz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dinaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCSA is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.09.24	UCSA - Kremin Kremenchuk	5:0 ✺
01.09.24	UCSA - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.24	Kudrivka - UCSA	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	UCSA - Poltava	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWWL
- Dinaz Vyshgorod
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.09.24	Kharkiv - Dinaz Vyshgorod	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Feniks-Mariupol	1:4 ✺
23.08.24	Poltava - Dinaz Vyshgorod	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Kudrivka - Dinaz Vyshgorod	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
03.08.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kudrivka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TLLTL

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