Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Bannikov Stadium (Kyiv)


	UCSA		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.78
	3.72	3.62	1.84	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.2
	3.96	3.54	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.05)	3.49 ↓ (3.89)	1.9 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
25.8%

Draw
26.2%

Kharkiv
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.6%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.4%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCSA - Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Fedotov N. (G) 21. Fogo 80. Kazakov M. 20. Kharchenko M. 17. Khovayko K. 4. Makhnev D. 15. Prykhodko N. 89. Synyogub O. (C) 5. Yevdokymov A. 18. Yuzefovych V. 24. Zozulya O.	1. Mozil O. (G) 7. Ari Moura 9. Boryachuk A. 11. Churko V. 32. Imerekov M. (C) 2. Kapinus D. 3. Kravets V. 10. Nagnoynyi D. 8. Obinaiah S. 24. Owusu R. 74. Snurnitsyn I.
Substitutes
12. Barantsov K. (G) 73. Castro P. 27. Debelko R. 29. Dedyaev A. 9. Geheiro W. 7. Goulart G. 8. Kireev A. 77. Myshenko B. 33. Selin Y. 55. Sherstyanikh R. (G) 90. Sytnykov M. 6. Yuvkhimets R.	20. Chervak V. 26. Kogut I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 91. Panchenko M. 18. Pasich Y. 14. Potapenko Y. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 16. Smitiukh O. 31. Sten S. 97. Sydorov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Owusu R. 🟨,
40', Yevdokymov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fogo ↓, Debelko R. ↑,
46', Khovayko K. ↓, Myshenko B. ↑,
46', Prykhodko N. ↓, Myshenko B. ↑,
46', Owusu R. ↓, Sydorov O. ↑,
46', Yurchenko V. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
49', Zozulya O. ↓, Kireev A. ↑,
66', Yevdokymov A. ↓, Sytnykov M. ↑,
75', Myshenko B. 🟨,
78', Kireev A. 🟨,
82', Kapinus D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).

UCSA is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Metalist 1925 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metalist 1925 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently UCSA have a series of guest games.

In this match Metalist 1925 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.08.24	Feniks-Mariupol - UCSA	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.24	Kudrivka - UCSA	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	UCSA - Poltava	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.08.24	Kudrivka - UCSA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.24	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	0:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.08.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	5:3 ET ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.08.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
03.08.24	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kharkiv	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLW

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