Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 31

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Alfaro

	1	X	2
	2.29	2.92	2.99
	2.3	2.93	2.99
	2.06	3.3	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
41.1%

Draw
29.9%

Alfaro
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Jimenez I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Perez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Arturo ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Riki de Moraes ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 1.

UD Logroñés Promesas in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alfaro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alfaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Logroñés Promesas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.04.24	Anguiano - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	4:0 ✺
07.04.24	Alberite - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:3 ✺
28.03.24	La Calzada - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	UD Logroñés Promesas - Oyonesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW
- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.04.24	Alfaro - Oyonesa	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Comillas - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Alfaro - Berceo	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Casalarreina - Alfaro	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Calahorra B - Alfaro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.12.23	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	0:0
30.10.22	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.04.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	0:1
01.12.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alfaro	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.02.18	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2

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