Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.28	3.05	3
	2.16	3.1	3.1
	2.24	3.08	3.27
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.15	3.24	3.14
	2.18	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.77)	3.09 ↓ (3.39)	3.13 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
41.5%

Draw
29.4%

Mutilvera
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

26.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Logroñés Promesas's form might have worsened.

Mutilvera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mutilvera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Logroñés Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mutilvera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

UD Logroñés Promesas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Logroñés Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.12.22	San Juan - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Alavés B	0:3 ✺
27.11.22	Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	5:1 ✺
06.11.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Beasain	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWT
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.12.22	Mutilvera - Alfaro	4:2 ✺
03.12.22	Utebo - Mutilvera	3:2 ✺
26.11.22	Mutilvera - Tarazona	3:1 ✺
20.11.22	Izarra - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Mutilvera - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.01.22	Mutilvera - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0
04.09.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Mutilvera	2:3

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