Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Gernika		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.3
	1.96	3.3	3.35
	1.97	3.41	3.69
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.91	3.4	3.64
	1.98	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.38)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	3.5 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
46.3%

Draw
27.7%

UD Logroñés Promesas
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

29.1%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UD Logroñés Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Gernika is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches UD Logroñés Promesas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gernika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.11.22	Alfaro - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Gernika - Leganés	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.11.22	Gernika - Utebo	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Tarazona - Gernika	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Gernika - Izarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWLTW
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.11.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	5:1 ✺
06.11.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Beasain	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Utebo	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Tarazona - UD Logroñés Promesas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.05.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Gernika	3:0
18.12.21	Gernika - UD Logroñés Promesas	3:1

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