Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alvarez Rodriguez O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	UD Ourense		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.75	3.10	2.25
	2.9	3.15	2.25
	3.03	3.25	2.55
	2.81	3.34	2.42	Watch
	3	2.75	2.5
	2.92	3.34	2.34
	2.85	3.15	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.59)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.35 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
31.9%

Draw
29.1%

Cacereño
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

28.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

UD Ourense - Cacereño Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - UD Ourense (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UD Ourense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vizoso M. (G) 2. Varo 4. Labrada J. 5. Puime L. 3. Cabrera J. 14. Champi (C) 22. Tejon D. 17. Dominguez X. 16. Bastida A. 10. Ferreiro D. 11. Baldrich S.	1. Nieves D. (G) 17. Lopez S. 2. Martinez Munoz I. (C) 3. Molina M. 22. Exposito A. 8. Gete A. 6. Conesa N. 16. Navarro S. 18. Artola J. 20. Tellechea I. 9. Chit O.
Substitutes
18. Carro C. 26. Chao Otero B. 23. Curras R. 24. Dominguez I. 7. Gandarillas M. 6. Gonzalez N. 21. Irazu I. 13. Rielo B. (G) 8. Rivelott Curro 9. Sanchez R. 28. Suarez H.	14. Alonso J. 4. Barea P. 24. Cabrera U. 5. Calvo T. 7. Fernandez I. 13. Garcia G. (G) 23. Gonzalez J. 11. Monerris A. 15. Rodriguez V. 10. Runy 21. Sanchez L. 19. Sevila M.
Coaches
Carballo J.	Cobos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Exposito A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tellechea I. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
46', Exposito A. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
55', Dominguez X. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
63', Gete A. ↓, Calvo T. ↑,
64', Artola J. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
65', Varo ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
69', Tejon D. 🟨,
74', Cabrera J. 🟨,
82', Champi ↓, Carro C. ↑,
83', Navarro S. ↓, Runy ↑,
87', Rivelott Curro 🟨,

Preview

UD Ourense is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cacereño shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cacereño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	9	4	3	2	8:5	3	15
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	3:15	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cacereño - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.09.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	UD Ourense - UD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Mirandés - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	UD Ourense - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	UD Ourense - Barco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.09.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Recreativo Huelva - Cacereño	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.26	Cacereño - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Cacereño - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWT

UD Ourense - Cacereño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide