Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)


	UD Ourense		Reus FC Reddis

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.63	2.88	2.78	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.2)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.82 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
36.9%

Draw
31%

Reus FC Reddis
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

30.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Reus FC Reddis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reus FC Reddis than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reus FC Reddis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD Ourense - Reus FC Reddis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Carbia F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 1, Barbosa J. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

UD Ourense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Reus FCR is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

UD Ourense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Reus FC Reddis - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	UD Ourense - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bergantiños - UD Ourense	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	UD Ourense - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWL
- Reus FC Reddis
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Reus FC Reddis - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.05.26	Terrassa - Reus FC Reddis	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Reus FC Reddis - Olot	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sant Andreu - Reus FC Reddis	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Reus FC Reddis - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.26	Reus FC Reddis - UD Ourense	0:0

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