Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG


	UD Ourense		Lealtad

	1	X	2
	1.13	5.9	16.5
	1.12	6.25	17.41
	1.15	6.03	20.11	Watch
	1.14	6	19
	1.13	6.05	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.28)	6.05 ↑ (4.6)	17.8 ↑ (9.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
79.9%

Draw
15%

Lealtad
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Ourense's performance.

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

UD Ourense - Lealtad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Migui ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Nunez M. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 3 - 1, Nunez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, UD Ourense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lealtad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lealtad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, UD Ourense is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	UD Ourense - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marino de Luanco - UD Ourense	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	UD Ourense - Sámano	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Langreo - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWL
- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.04.26	Lealtad - Valladolid B	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Bergantiños - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Lealtad - UD Ourense	0:1

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